Each company in this library gets a deep research note. Then we ask one question: can it clear the hurdle? The stacks below are the answer, ranked with no jargon required.
A full research write-up: the business, the numbers, what could go wrong.
Bear, base, and bull cases, translated into expected return per year.
Does the base case clear the 12% growth bar? The 30%? Neither? Or is it a building block instead? The stack it lands on is the verdict.
Every note is refreshed when the company reports. Ranks move when facts move.
Every idea, ranked by which hurdle it can clear.
The base case, our middle-of-the-road expectation, beats 30% a year with high confidence. This is the hardest hurdle in the library to clear.
Cell towers in space, beaming signal straight to ordinary phones. If the constellation works, carriers with billions of subscribers pay them rent.
Spot bitcoin in an ETF wrapper. Not ranked against the hurdle. It is the hurdle: the yardstick for everything else.
Beats 12% a year in the base case, but can't clear 30%. Interesting, at the right price. STRC's yield is what sets the hurdle.
Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp, and an AI assistant with a shot at becoming everyone's daily habit. The catch: today's price already assumes a lot of it.
A preferred stock from the bitcoin treasury company, paying about 12% a year in twice-monthly checks. The coupon is the thesis.
The chips, networking, and software behind the AI buildout. A phenomenal business where the base case clears 12% but the price leaves little room for error.
The memory every AI chip needs. Nvidia is paying record prices for it, and the stock trades under 6x forward earnings. Cheap for a reason, or cheap for a season.
A mix of cash and diversified ETFs. The foundation pieces of a portfolio: plug them in where they are needed, then don't think about them.
Treasury bills in an ETF wrapper, yielding about 3.7%. Clears neither hurdle, and that's the point: this is where cash waits.
750 of America's biggest companies for a 0.03% fee. This is the market itself, the average every stock picker is trying to beat.
Baron's actively managed tech ETF: 41 stocks, heavy on AI chips and cloud, with a 0.75% fee for stock picking.
Interesting names that don't clear either hurdle: too pricey, too early, too uncertain, or simply not trying to. We keep the notes warm in case that changes.
A real car company priced for a robotaxi future. The base case clears neither hurdle; only the autonomy bull case gets close.
The hometown airline, now including Hawaiian. Well run, in a brutal business: the base case clears neither hurdle.
A wonderful company at a not-wonderful price. On the back burner until the valuation cooperates.
Windows, Office, Azure, and Copilot. The most complete software franchise on earth, at a price that assumes it stays that way.
AWS is reaccelerating and retail prints cash, but the stock lags on a $200B capex bill. Fundamentals versus price: the whole trade.
The connectivity cloud for the agentic internet. A great business at a price that demands perfection: ~44x sales and above the Street's targets.
847,666 bitcoin bought mostly with stock sales. You pay about $160 a share for roughly $133 of bitcoin. The premium is the trade.
Search, YouTube, and Cloud. The cheapest of the giants at ~17x earnings, priced like AI disruption wins.
The only SpaceX you can buy: 97 rocket flights, a $2.36B backlog, and a medium rocket that hasn't flown yet. Real company, fantasy price.
Quantum clocks, sensors, and computers. Real defense customers, $42M of revenue, a $3B valuation. A moonshot, labeled like one.
Autopilot for cargo planes. No pilot required. Tiny, early, and enormous if regulators and the military sign off.
Starlink prints money; rockets and AI burn it. An extraordinary business priced for the bull case already.
The library holds 40 names. Each earns its stack as its research note refreshes. Most are still being ranked.